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🗳 2020 General Election - Trump vs Biden

Writer from Esquire ponders where all this disinformation came from and why it’s hitting our country in unfortunate ways…

Once upon a time, there were three freshmen living in a suite in a dormitory at the University of California at Pseudonym. Their names were John Barron, David Dennison, and…Martin Aspen.

From NBC News:

The document, a 64-page composition that was later disseminated by close associates of President Donald Trump, appears to be the work of a fake “intelligence firm” called Typhoon Investigations, according to researchers and public documents.

The author of the document, a self-identified Swiss security analyst named Martin Aspen, is a fabricated identity, according to analysis by disinformation researchers, who also concluded that Aspen’s profile picture was created with an artificial intelligence face generator. The intelligence firm that Aspen lists as his previous employer said that no one by that name had ever worked for the company and that no one by that name lives in Switzerland, according to public records and social media searches.

One of the original posters of the document, a blogger and professor named Christopher Balding, took credit for writing parts of it when asked about it and said Aspen does not exist.

The whole saga is a graduate-level course in disinformation and ratfcking—which always seem to be a step ahead of our democratic institutions. Just as the Founders intended.

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Trump Threatens Supreme Court To Prevent ‘Ridiculous Win’ For Biden, Claims Dems Will Pack Court

Pete Buttigieg Just Gave A Master Class On How To Deal With A MAGA Heckler At A Biden Rally

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WTF to expect leading up to Election Day

With less than 100 hours until the first polls close on Election Day, here’s a short guide for what you need to know between now and then (and the then after):


Don’t Sweat the Polls: Why the 2020 election won’t be a 2016 sequel.

The most important difference between 2016 and 2020 isn’t about polling methodology or the opposing candidate. It’s this: Four years ago, Trump ran on the vague promise of success, and this year he’s running on a clear record of failure. Judging by the polls, Americans have noticed.


When To Expect Election Results In Every State: A complete guide to poll closing times, vote counting and races to watch on election night 2020

There’s a good chance we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for how votes are counted and reported, some will report results sooner than others. Those disparate rules may also make initial returns misleading: The margins in some states may shift toward Democrats as mail ballots (which are overwhelmingly cast by Democrats) are counted, while states that release mail ballots first may experience a shift toward Republicans as Election Day votes are tallied.


A guide to what happens after Election Day

November 3 – Election Day

While many millions of Americans will cast their ballots in the weeks leading up to Election Day, either by mail or as an in-person absentee voter, US law says Election Day occurs on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Votes are counted across the country on Election Day. While news networks will project winners in certain races, there is always time after Election Day for provisional or mail-in votes to be counted.

November 4 – November 23

More votes are counted.

Mail-in ballots must be postmarked by November 3 in every US state, but they can be received late and still counted in many states. In most cases, they must be received within a day or two of Election Day. But in Washington state, mail-in ballots can be received as late as November 23 – the day before the state certifies its election results. In the battleground states of North Carolina and Pennsylvania, mail-in votes can be received until November 6.

In the battlegrounds of Minnesota and Nevada, they can be received until November 10. And in Ohio, they can be received until November 13.

November 10 – December 11

States certify election results.

Each state does it a little bit differently, but starting a week after Election Day, state governments begin to certify their election results. Those deadlines can be changed in the event of a state recount if there is an extremely close result. Most of these dates occur in the last two weeks of November and all but California’s are mandated to occur by December 8.

December 8

“Safe harbor” to determine election results and assign electors.

Under the Electoral Count Act, this is the date by which states are meant to have counted votes, settled disputes, and determined the winner of their electoral college votes. Governors are supposed to create certificates of ascertainment listing the winner of the election and the slate of electors. In 2000, the Supreme Court ended a targeted recount in Florida because it could not be completed by this safe harbor date. That recount would not have changed the outcome of the election, but a full statewide recount could have made Al Gore president. This is when it could become very important for Republicans that they control more state legislatures than Democrats, including in most of the contested 2020 battleground states.

December 14

Electoral votes cast.

In law this date is the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December. This year it falls on December 14. Six days after disputes are supposed to be settled, electors are supposed to meet in their respective states and cast votes for US President. They certify six sets of votes and send them to Washington. Many states have laws requiring their electors to support the winner of their state’s election and can levy fines against faithless electors who go their own way.

December 23

Electoral Votes must arrive in Washington.

The certified electoral votes have nine days to get from their states to Capitol Hill.

January 3

New Congress is sworn in.

Members of the House and new members of the Senate take the oath of office at noon. This is the official start of the 117th Congress.

January 6

Electoral votes counted.

Members of the House and the Senate all meet in the House chamber. The President of the Senate (Vice President Mike Pence) presides over the session and the Electoral votes are read and counted in alphabetical order by two appointees each from the House and Senate. They then give their tallies to Pence, who announces the results and listens for objections.

If there are objections or if there are, somehow, multiple slates of electors put forward by a state, the House and Senate consider them separately to decide how to count those votes.

What if there’s no winner? There are 538 electoral votes – one for each congressman and senator plus three for Washington, DC. If no candidate gets 270, the 435 members of the House decide the election. Each state gets a vote. While there are more Democrats in the House, Republicans, as of now, control more state delegations, so it is very possible the House could pick Donald Trump even though there is a Democratic majority. It requires a majority of state votes to become President. The House has until noon on January 20 to pick the President. If they can’t, it would be the vice president or the next person eligible in the line of presidential succession. If neither a president or vice president were picked, the next person in the lie of succession is the speaker of the House, which today is Nancy Pelosi.

Meanwhile, according to the 12th amendment, senators pick the vice president. It is technically possible the House could get deadlocked on the president and the Senate could pick a vice president who would become President. Republicans currently hold the Senate majority, but Democrats hope to win it in November.

If there’s a 50-50 tie in the Senate, it’s strangely possible that Vice President Mike Pence could cast the deciding vote that gives him another term.

January 20

Inauguration Day.

A new president takes the oath of office at noon. If the President-elect dies between Election Day and Inauguration, the vice president-elect takes the oath of office and becomes President. In a disputed election, if the House has not chosen a President but the Senate has chosen a vice president, the vice president-elect becomes acting president until the House makes a choice. And if there’s no president-elect and no vice president-elect, the House appoints a president until one is chosen. Under the Presidential Succession Act, that placekeeper president would likely be Nancy Pelosi if she resigned from Congress.


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Florida is close…but the latinx vote is what is in play.

Florida’s Cuban American voters remain a bright spot in Trump’s effort to retain his winning coalition from 2016. Polls show his strong support from these key voters may even be growing to include the younger Cuban Americans that Democrats once considered their best hope of breaking the GOP’s hold. For Trump, that support could prove essential in a tight race in a state he must win to beat Democratic challenger Joe Biden.

In the past four years, Trump has courted with these voters by undoing former President Barack Obama’s Cuba engagement policy, sanctioning Latin-American socialist governments and misleadingly casting all Democrats as leftists and anti-capitalists.

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Trump’s outreach for LGBTQ votes isn’t just offensive. It’s a sign of desperation.

The Trump campaign is hurting so much that it’s scrounging to peel off LGBTQ voters from Joe Biden, despite the president’s vile record.

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Facebook’s Political Ads Ban Has Been An Ominous Disaster

Just days from the election, the tech giant wrongly blocked thousands of Biden ads due to “technical flaws” — and that’s only the beginning.

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Wow - a Friday event cancelled by BIden’s group heading to Austin from San Antonia because they were met by a MAGA mob who were armed. :fearful:

Joe Biden’s presidential campaign canceled a Friday event in Austin, Texas, after harassment from a pro-Trump contingent.

Texas has emerged as a battleground state in Tuesday’s presidential election, with polls showing the typically Republican stronghold now only marginally favoring President Donald Trump. The Biden campaign scheduled a Friday event in the state, in a bid to drum up last-minute support.

But when the Biden campaign bus drove to Austin, it was greeted by a blockade of pro-Trump demonstrators, leading to what one Texas House representative described as an escalation “well beyond safe limits.”

The cancelation comes amid national anxiety about voter intimidation, a tactic the Trump campaign has implicitly endorsed.

Historian Dr. Eric Cervini was driving to help with the Biden campaign stop when he filmed a line of pickup trucks along the highway, many of them flying Trump flags. The drivers were “waiting to ambush the Biden/Harris campaign bus as it traveled from San Antonio to Austin,” Cervini tweeted.

“These Trump supporters, many of whom were armed, surrounded the bus on the interstate and attempted to drive it off the road,” he alleged. “They outnumbered police 50-1, and they ended up hitting a staffer’s car.”

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FFS. The Hunter Biden laptop conspiracy theory has officially become a video game quest.







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Here is the nightmare scenario…throw it over to the Supreme Court.

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Guestimate of how many people at Trump Rallies 30,000 were affected by Covid, spreading covid and subseqent deaths 700 between June 20 and Sept. 22. Not peer reviewed so it has not been fully checked.

President Donald Trump’s campaign rallies led to more than 30,000 coronavirus cases, according to a new paper posted by researchers at Stanford.

Researchers looked at 18 Trump rallies held between June 20 and Sept. 22 and analyzed Covid-19 data the weeks following each event. They compared the counties where the events were held to other counties that had a similar trajectory of confirmed Covid-19 cases prior to the rally date. Out of the 18 rallies analyzed, only three were indoors, according to the research.

The researchers found that the rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19. They also concluded that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths, though not necessarily among attendees.

The researchers said the findings support the warnings and recommendations of public health officials concerning the risk of Covid-19 transmission at large group gatherings, “particularly when the degree of compliance with guidelines concerning the use of masks and social distancing is low.”

“The communities in which Trump rallies took place paid a high price in terms of disease and death,” said B. Douglas Bernheim, chairman of Stanford’s economics department and a lead author of the paper, wrote.

The paper, which has not undergone a peer review yet, was published on open access preprint platform SSRN.

In response to the paper, Trump campaign spokesperson Courtney Parella said, “Americans have the right to gather under the First Amendment to hear from the President of the United States.”

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He did it again.

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Oh wow.

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Trump has officially given the attack on Biden’s campaign bus the thumbs up.




Picture of one of the accounts apparently organizing it.

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Alarming pre-election request from Trump Campaign in FL. As well, similar requests were made in PA

Security info request from Trump campaign perturbs Cumberland County officials ahead of election | Politics | cumberlink.com

Cumberland County officials received an email this week from the Trump campaign requesting highly specific details about the county’s ballot security.

The email, obtained by The Sentinel, went so far as to ask for the address and room numbers of ballot storage locations, and requested that the information be sent to the Gmail account of a Florida-based Trump operative.

County officials said they have not responded to the request and do not intend to, according to the county commissioners.

The Trump campaign described the request as “standard election transparency details,” but local officials find the implication — that the President’s campaign staff is harvesting election security plans through what appears to be a personal web-based email account — to be extremely concerning.

It’s almost kind of chilling the sort of data they wanted us to provide,” Cumberland County Commissioner Gary Eichelberger said. “This is basically the whole security plan. We’ve never received a request of this detail and I find it troubling that one of the interested parties [in the election outcome] feels they have a right to information that obviously could jeopardize the security of the ballots.”

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Villages sees spike in COVID-19 cases as state tops 800,000 positive results -

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Still very good numbers for Biden - holding steady.

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The Republican playbook - anticipate that Election night Trump will be ahead, and therefore he has won. Anything else - ie, wait to get a full count of ballots will be the Dems ‘stealing’ the election.

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