WTF Community

2020 General Election


(David Bythewood) #404

(David Bythewood) #405



(David Bythewood) #406

Kentucky Senate President Robert Stivers threw another wrench into the state’s razor-thin gubernatorial outcome late Tuesday night, saying that the legislature could decide the race.

Stivers’ comments came shortly after Gov. Matt Bevin refused to concede to Attorney General Andy Beshear, who led by roughly 5,100 votes when all the precincts were counted.

“There’s less than one-half of 1%, as I understand, separating the governor and the attorney general,” Stivers said. “We will follow the letter of the law and what various processes determine.”

Stivers, R-Manchester, said based on his staff’s research, the decision could come before the Republican-controlled state legislature.

Under state law, Bevin has 30 days to formally contest the outcome once it is certified by the State Board of Elections. Candidates typically ask for a re-canvass of voting machines and a recount first.

The last contested governor’s race was the 1899 election of Democrat William Goebel.

Stivers said he thought Bevin’s speech declining to concede to Beshear was “appropriate.” He said believes most of the votes that went to Libertarian John Hicks, who received about 2% of the total vote, would have gone to Bevin and made him the clear winner.

A candidate can file a formal election contest with the state legislature, but it must be filed within 30 days of the last action by the state board of elections. The state board is scheduled to certify the results of the race for governor on Nov. 25 this year.

Under this contest, the candidate challenging the results must specify the grounds for the action, such as a violation of campaign finance rules or specific problems when it comes to how ballots were cast.

Such an election contest is covered under Section 90 of the state constitution, which addresses a “contest of election for Governor or Lieutenant Governor.”

Section 90 states: “Contested elections for Governor and Lieutenant Governor shall be determined by both Houses of the General Assembly, according to such regulations as may be established by law.”

Sam Marcosson, a constitutional law professor at the University of Louisville Brandeis School of Law, told The Courier Journal that this language of the state Constitution suggests there must be procedure established by law for a review of a contested election to take place by the House and Senate.

“They can’t just make them up,” Marcosson said.

Further, he said, such a review would be extremely risky for lawmakers to undertake without clear reasons for a contested election.

“If the House and Senate were just to proceed on vague allegations without proof, that raises serious questions about disenfranchisement of the voters who voted for Attorney General Beshear,” Marcosson said. “It’s an extraordinary proposition to suggest that the General Assembly would take vague allegations of unspecified irregularities and call into question a gubernatorial election.”

‘Leave as quickly as you came’: Readers sound off about Bevin and Kentucky governor’s race

The Courier Journal editorial board asked readers to weigh in on the Kentucky governor’s race, and their reactions were swift and strong.

They don’t mind a recanvass, but many are adamantly opposed to the Kentucky legislature getting involved, and they want Gov. Matt Bevin to man up and concede the race.


#407

Hope this is true. We don’t need a spoiler.


(David Bythewood) #408

Eep.

New Trump Facebook ad: “The far left knows that they have NO CHANCE of defeating President Trump in 2020, so they’ve resorted to violence to try to silence the MILLIONS of American Patriots who voted for him.”


(David Bythewood) #409




#410

Sessions would be joining a crowded primary field that includes Rep. Bradley Byrne (R-Ala.), former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville, Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill, businessman Stanley Adair, state Rep. Arnold Mooney and Roy Moore, the 2017 GOP nominee who lost to Sen. Doug Jones (D) in the special election to fill Sessions’s former seat.

Jeff Sessions vs Roy Moore in the Primary? Omfg, what a choice for voters! :woman_shrugging:t2:


(David Bythewood) #411



https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2019-04-03/democrats-flip-long-held-gop-seat-in-pennsylvania-rising-partys-hopes-for-2020?fbclid=IwAR3YNf_0dlR14jR9GMo4FpYROpLHiJK-VjcWGpjtLhIEj73arA0fz5wBGL0

https://thefulcrum.us/most-gerrymandered-districts


(David Bythewood) #412



#413

Cue the music


(David Bythewood) #414

image


#415

Speaking of billionaires, here’s some good back to back Sunday morning reading. Do billionaires have a singular redeeming function in our society? I’m really asking, I’ve been trying to come up with one that cannot be fulfilled by another group or class and it’s really hard. What do y’all think?

Richest 1% of Americans Close to Surpassing Wealth of Middle Class

https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019-11-09/one-percenters-close-to-surpassing-wealth-of-u-s-middle-class

Paired with some ideas.


(David Bythewood) #416

Yet another one bites the dust.

Republican Rep. Peter King , the longest serving New York Republican in the House, won’t seek re-election next year.

This makes 21 Republicans not running in 2020.


(David Bythewood) #417

Four Qanon Candidates Are Now Running For Congress

Oh, good! A whole fresh crop of nut jobs…


#418

The really good news here is that King’s district (NY-2) is now definitely in play.

In 2016 Trump won the district by 8.9 points and King won it by 24.2.

In 2018 King won by a much smaller margin of 6.2 points.

When you consider Trump’s huge drop in popularity after 2016 and take into account King’s massive loss of popularity during the same period, the prospects for a Republican win in this district have been greatly diminished.

This looks similar to what happened in my district (CA-49) leading up to 2016. The Republican incumbent, Darrell Issa, saw his popularity rapidly eroding. He had won in 2014 by a much smaller margin than his previous wins. He read the writing on the wall and decided not to run in 2016. This created an opportunity for Democrats – Mike Levin lead the charge and, sure enough, we flipped our district from red to blue. I believe Peter King has also read the writing on the wall. Now that he’s dropped out of the race, Democrats have an excellent chance of flipping this seat! :muscle: :ocean:


#419

(David Bythewood) #420

While many jeer at Mark Sanford ending his primary run against Trump, I would like to point out that a major reason he had to is because Trump’s GOP outright obstructed, CANCELING PRIMARIES in many states, including Sanford’s home state of South Carolina.

That is NOT alright.




(David Bythewood) #421

Michigan GOP attempting to have Trump be only Republican candidate on ballot

The Michigan Republican Party submitted a list of candidates Tuesday in which President Trump is the only GOP candidate set to appear on the primary ballot on March 10.

The Detroit Free Press reports the list containing only Trump may not be final, as Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) has a different list of potential GOP candidates.

Benson’s list of presidential primary candidates, released last week, consists of Trump and former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford, former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld, and former Rep. Joe Walsh (Ill.). Sanford announced on Tuesday that he was dropping out of the race.

The Michigan GOP, however, is asking Benson to take up their list, saying that Trump is the only “legitimate candidate” in the GOP field, according to the news outlet.

“If other candidates want to get on the ballot, they should do a show of strength and get their nominating petitions,” Tony Zammit, spokesman for the Michigan Republican Party, told the Free Press. “We’re recommending that [Benson] approve only Trump for the Republican ballot.”

The candidates who appeared on both Benson’s list and the Michigan Republican Party’s list qualify to appear on the GOP primary ballot in the state, so it is unlikely Trump will run uncontested, the news outlet notes.

Laura Cox, chairwoman of the Michigan GOP, said Trump’s campaign was the only among Republican candidates that contacted her office about appearing on the ballot.

Several other states have moved forward in having Trump be the only Republican candidate on their respective ballots. Candidates challenging Trump for the GOP nomination have decried state parties who they allege are subverting the democratic process by closing off access to the primary ballot.

Michigan is widely considered a swing state in the upcoming election after Trump bested Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by just over 10,000 votes in 2016.

This could backfire spectacularly for the GOP if Trump is impeached and removed, though it should be noted that the vote to remove is separate from the vote to ban from holding office.


(David Bythewood) #422


https://www.politico.com/news/2019/11/14/matt-bevin-concedes-kentucky-governor-070975


#423

Reuters Poll on DJT - week of 11/13/19

All Adults - total Disapprove 58%
- total Approve 49%
All Adults -should be impeached 45%
- should not be impeached 42%