Weâre getting a lot of these recapsâŚwhich synthesize the known facts and implications for these other players. We just want to know how this whole dragnet may go downâŚRead on.
The pace of developments shows no sign of slowing, either. Thursday apparently will see a guilty plea from alleged Russian spy Maria Butina, whose role in the 2016 election and ties to gun-rights groups like the National Rifle Association remain perplexing.
CNNâs John Berman has described it as the â12 days of Mueller.â The filings thus far, taken together, have clarified where Mueller is heading, and appear to help delineate who is likely on the special counselâs ânaughty listâ this holiday season. The past two weeks of rapid-fire filings, court appearances, and news reports show several people and entities potentially in Muellerâs sights.
Here are the reasons you should be concerned if youâre:
Jared Kushner
Former national security adviser Michael Flynnâs original plea deal made clear that he called Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak at the direction of a âvery seniorâ transition official, which media reports have identified as presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner. Subsequent court filings have made clear that Flynnâs early cooperation encouraged others to cooperate as well. That likely includes at least K.T. McFarland, another national security aide, whose memory reportedly evolved after Flynnâs plea. Her revised memory likely also ratchets up the scrutiny of Kushnerâs role on the campaign, where he was in the room for the infamous June 2016 Trump Tower meeting, and the transition, where he reportedly tried to create a communications backchannel with Russia and met with the head of the Russian development bank, Sergei Gorkov. Mueller has outlined in recent court filings his view that âsenior government leaders should be held to the highest standards,â which sounds like an as-yet-unfired warning shot against other âsenior government leaders.â Kushner, as a senior White House adviser, now fits that bill.
Donald Trump, Jr.
Michael Cohenâs plea agreement never mentions the presidential son by name, but it potentially implicates Don Jr. in at least two critical areas. First, vis-Ă -vis the Trump Tower Moscow deal, Cohen says he kept the Trump Organization and family members up to date on the conversations with Russia, which appears to undercut Don Jr.âs testimony to Congress that he didnât know much about the proposed development and, besides, the deal never went very far anyway. Cohen, and thus the special counsel, appears to possess evidence that both halves of that dismissal were false. With the Cohen plea agreement 10 days ago, Mueller has made clear that he considers lying to Congress within his purview.
Second, and more intriguing, is how Cohen discusses the November 2015 approach by a Russian intermediary offering âpolitical synergyâ with the campaign. One of the most confounding puzzle pieces of the investigation remains publicist Rob Goldstoneâs email initiating the infamous June 2016 Trump Tower meeting, at which Don Jr., Jared Kushner, and Paul Manafort met with Russians who had promised to help the campaign. Goldstoneâs email said, âThis is obviously very high level and sensitive information but is part of Russia and its governmentâs support for Mr. Trump.â Weâve never known what âpart of Russia and its governmentâs support for Mr. Trumpâ meant specifically, but the way Goldstone phrased it seems to imply that such help wouldnât come as a surprise to Don Jr. The Cohen plea agreement now lays the groundwork that such help might have been quite well known inside Trumpworld, given that 2015 overture. The offer of âpolitical synergy,â a synonym that sounds a lot like âcollusionâ or âconspiracy,â makes it much harder to imagine a naive acceptance of the Russian help come June 2016.
President Donald Trump aka Individual-1
While the president tried to brush off recent developments as âpeanut stuffâ Tuesday night, the potential criminal liability focused on the White House seems to grow with nearly every court filing. Prosecutors have now made clear their belief that the president himself, aka âIndividual-1,â directed Michael Cohen to commit campaign finance violations, a felony. Given Cohenâs general slipperiness in court, theyâre almost certainly basing that allegation on precise documentary evidence, potentially even the covert recordings that Cohen liked to make. On Wednesday, SDNY reached a deal with National Enquirer publisher AMI that explicitly states that the Cohen payments were intended to prevent a story about Trumpâs alleged affair with Karen McDougal from âinfluencing the election.â
The court filings contain growing signs, too, that Mueller could be building not just a case around conspiracy during the 2016 campaign, but also about âexpansive obstruction.â A case like that could include the possible coordination of lies following Russia revelations, such as Cohenâs in front of Congress. A specific line from the special counselâs filing in Cohenâs case also jumps out: âBy publicly presenting this false narrative, the defendant deliberately shifted the timeline of what had occurred in hopes of limiting the investigations into possible Russian interference in the 2016 US presidential election.â Itâs not hard to imagine that same line cut-and-pasted into a future obstruction case regarding Donald Trumpâs personal handling of a false narrative put out by the White House after reports first surfaced of the June 2016 meeting at Trump Tower. Maybe the firing of FBI director James Comeyâwhich has seemed central to any obstruction investigationâwill ultimately end up just part of a larger, longer, more coordinated attempt to mislead and misdirect attention around the Russia investigation. After all, thereâs historical precedent for this: Part of the Watergate articles of impeachment charged Richard Nixon with âmaking or causing to be made false or misleading public statements for the purpose of deceiving the people of the United States.â
The Trump Organization
There are increasing signs that the Trump Organizationâthe family business built around the Trump brandâmight be in its crosshairs. Corporate malfeasance expert Kurt Eichenwald, who literally wrote the book on Enron, points out how closely the Trump Organization appears to be implicated in Cohenâs hush money payments, and the apparently narrow circle of people who could have participated in them. Cohenâs plea deal also alleges that the Trump Organizationâs business was closely tied into the Trump Tower Moscow project; BuzzFeed broke word that the company had floated the idea of offering the $50 million penthouse to Putin himself. Itâs been known, too, for some time that Trump Organization CFO Allen Weisselberg has been cooperating with investigators. Between him and Cohenâand Cohenâs voluminous seized recordsâa clear trail may appear for prosecutors to follow.
Jerome Corsi and Associates
The alleged criminal liability of conspiracy theorist Jerome Corsi has already been laid out in the aborted plea agreement that he leaked after the deal with Muellerâs office fell apart.
Michael Cohen
Even after Wednesdayâs prison sentence, which settles the nine (nine!) felonies he has currently pleaded guilty to, thereâs some reason to believe that Cohen might not be out of the woods. The Southern District of New York in its sentencing filing made clear its unhappiness that Cohen didnât fully cooperate, providing a full and complete list of the crimes heâd participated in over the years. As they wrote, âCohen repeatedly declined to provide full information about the scope of any additional criminal conduct in which he may have engaged or had knowledge.â
Business partners of Michael Flynn
Given that the court filings reference Flynnâs business workânot the Trump campaignâand that part of Flynnâs plea agreement focused on his plotting with the Turkish government, it appears one of the undisclosed criminal investigations he has helped with involves those interactions.
Konstanin Kilimnik
The Ukrainian businessman who served as Paul Manafortâs onetime business partnerâand alleged Russian intelligence assetâis all over the Manafort court filings in a way that makes clear the special counsel has a unique, focused interest in him and his role in the campaign. Heâs already been implicated in Manafortâs alleged witness tampering scheme, but thereâs no reason to think Mueller is done with him. Franklin Foer, who has written the most in-depth coverage of Manafortâs world, says Kilimnikâs appearance in the new documents âforeshadow[s] an ominous return.â
Alexander Torshin
The Russian politician and banker has been linked in court documents to Maria Butina, the alleged spy likely to plead guilty on Thursday. Torshin appeared to âhandleâ Butina, building ties to the NRA; her guilty plea will likely shed additional light on Torshinâs role, particularly if she provides active cooperation with investigators.