WTF Community

🗳 2020 Primary Election

Yes! If there’s any upside, it’s that he has received some solid national coverage. His leadership will be especially effective when we take back the Senate.

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Big news

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I can’t say enough good things about this article – it’s your “pocket guide” to the 2020 Senate races. Excellent analysis, state by state, sizing up the chances of candidates both Democratic and Republican. Even if you don’t have an opportunity to read this now, bookmark it because it will remain relevant for at least several months. Hoping Vox will update it along the path to 2020.

Yes, we can take the Senate and we will take the Senate. :muscle:

Republicans’ razor-thin three-seat majority in the Senate will be among the biggest fights during the 2020 election cycle, as Democrats look to not only win the White House but also gain full control of Congress.

Part of the reason this is such a big opportunity for Democrats is that Republicans will have to defend 22 seats in 2020 (many were first elected 2014 — a very strong year for Republicans) meaning Democrats are on offense. They are up in just 12 states.

Democrats do have certain factors playing in their favor. Trump’s low approval rating could be a drag on Republicans’ reelection bids, helping some Democrats ride to victory. After all, Trump is polling on net at -13 in Colorado, -15 in Maine, and -7 in Arizona — the places where Democrats have their best shotsaccording to Morning Consult. …

The rest of the introduction explains why Democrats are looking at a golden opportunity to seize the Senate, but it will be a hard fought battle requiring total commitment by party members across the nation.

The article then lays out the key factors at play in each of the battlefield states. It’s an engrossing read – and got me fired up! :running_man: :running_woman:

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Ballotpedia

List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2020

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Another great 2020 resource to bookmark. Look at that House graph! :ok_hand:

This page lists the incumbent members of the 116th U.S. Congress who are not running for re-election in the 2020 congressional elections for both U.S. Senate and U.S. House.

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Well…this poll tells us what we already knew…69% of registered voters dislike T.
And no one is exactly thrilled with the Dem candidates.

Quote

49% of those polled said they’re “very uncomfortable” with Trump’s 2020 candidacy. 41% said were “very uncomfortable” with Sen. Bernie Sanders, while 33% said the same for both Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

Article

69% of the 900 registered voters polled in the September NBC News/Wall Street Journal public opinion poll said they do not like Trump personally, regardless of their feelings about his policies.
Why it matters: Despite the conventional wisdom that incumbents have an upper hand in general elections, the poll indicates that Trump is the most disliked president out of his 5 most recent predecessors.
Details: The poll found Trump’s approval rating rests at 45%, which is on par with where Barack Obama and Bill Clinton stood at this point in their presidencies. Both Obama and Clinton won re-election, but neither president faced the high degree of personal animus that Trump faces today.

Previously, the highest  share of voters that said they disliked the president personally,  regardless of their views on his policies, was 42% for George W. Bush in  2006 — in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.
**49%  of those polled said they’re "very uncomfortable" with Trump's 2020  candidacy. 41% said were "very uncomfortable" with Sen. Bernie Sanders,  while 33% said the same for both Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.**
At  the same time, the poll shows that 26% of voters are "enthusiastic"  about Trump's candidacy — compared to 17% for Warren, 13% for Sanders  and 12% for Biden.

The bottom line: While the poll suggests a record level of personal hostility toward Trump, it also reflects a polarized electorate that also has doubts about the 3 Democratic frontrunners.
The NBC/WSJ poll of 900 voters was conducted Sept. 13-16. The margin of error for all adults is +/- 3.27 percentage points.

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With tax cuts perhaps? Or what trickery do you have up your sleeves - destroy medicare, social security…?

Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said Thursday that the national debt would be his top priority if Republicans succeed in retaking the House in 2020.

First thing we would do is make sure our debt is taken care of,” McCarthy told reporters at a GOP retreat in Baltimore. “This is continuing to grow. … Every great society has collapsed when they’ve overextended themselves,” the California Republican warned.

:rofl: Sounds like an SNL sketch.

As Bloomberg pointed out, McCarthy made his remarks the same week that our national debt exceeded $1 Trillion. The primary cause? Republicans’ tax cuts that greatly favored the rich.

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Finally… a headline that spells out clearly what’s happening with Trump’s phone call to Ukraine. It took a Republican to get this headline out there, but whatever it takes. I hope the media stops tap dancing around this scandal and starts using plain language.

Former Massachusetts governor Bill Weld, who is challenging President Trump for the Republican nomination next year, on Monday accused him of “treason” for pressing the leader of Ukraine to investigate former vice president Joe Biden and his son.

Weld’s comments came in response to reports that Trump repeatedly brought up investigating Biden, who is seeking the 2020 Democratic nomination, and his younger son, Hunter, in a July call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

“Talk about pressuring a foreign country to interfere with and control a U.S. election,” Weld said during an appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” “It couldn’t be clearer, and that’s not just undermining democratic institutions. That is treason. It’s treason, pure and simple, and the penalty for treason under the U.S. code is death. That’s the only penalty.”

UPDATE: According to Law & Crime, Weld is being overzealous with his treason accusation. They quote the law defining treason and maintain that if Trump did pressure the Ukrainian President to investigate his rival, that does not rise to the level of a “treasonous crime.” Perhaps, the word “traitorous” is more accurate. And the expression “impeachable offense” certainly fits.

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Ohio has made Election Day a paid holiday, replacing Columbus Day.

Voting is our right. We should strive to make this the rule EVERYWHERE.

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Big Little Shift

She has been touting herself as the reform candidate, calling out corruptions in our political system.

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Former Ukraine prosecutor says Hunter Biden ‘did not violate anything’

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/former-ukraine-prosecutor-says-hunter-biden-did-not-violate-anything/2019/09/26/48801f66-e068-11e9-be7f-4cc85017c36f_story.html

A former top Ukrainian prosecutor, whose allegations were at the heart of the dirt-digging effort by Rudolph W. Giuliani, said Thursday he believed that Hunter Biden did not run afoul of any laws in Ukraine.

“From the perspective of Ukrainian legislation, he did not violate anything,” former Ukrainian prosecutor general Yuri Lutsenko told The Washington Post in his first interview since the disclosure of a whistleblower complaint alleging pressure by President Trump on Ukraine’s president, Volodymr Zelensky.

https://www-m.cnn.com/2019/09/23/politics/fact-check-trump-ukraine-hunter-biden-joe-biden/index.html?r=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F

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Sen Cory Booker - stays in the race - “In it to win it”

Sen. Cory Booker’s presidential campaign announced Monday that it had crossed a self-imposed $1.7 million threshold Sunday night

in order to keep him in the 2020 race. The campaign had issued an urgent memo more than a week ago alleging that if they didn’t raise that money, the New Jersey Democrat would have been unable to sustain and build his campaign for the long haul. Now it appears that the gambit has paid off. “Thanks to this outpouring of support, we see a viable path forward to continue growing a winning campaign,” Booker said in a statement Monday. “I’m staying in this race—and I’m in it to win. But this won’t be the last mountain we have to climb on our way to the nomination—we have a lot more money to raise to continue being competitive with the better-funded campaigns in this race. I’ll be asking more of my supporters as we move forward in this campaign together.”

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Yep…Rep Chris Collins (R-NY) he’s outta there. Insider trading caught up with him.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/09/30/rep-chris-collins-expected-plead-guilty-insider-trading-case/

BREAKING: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) received a letter of resignation from Collins on Monday, a senior Democratic aide said. The resignation will be effective when the letter is officially filed at a scheduled House session Tuesday.

This is a developing story. It will be updated.

NEW YORK — Rep. Chris Collins, President Trump’s first congressional supporter, is expected to plead guilty to insider-trading charges on Tuesday, following allegations last year that the Republican from New York schemed with his son to avoid significant losses on a biotechnology investment.

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The Texadous stampede keeps growing: :ox:

From Politico::

Texas Rep. Mac Thornberry announced on Monday that he won’t seek reelection in 2020, marking yet another high-profile retirement for House Republicans.

As the top Republican on the House Armed Services Committee, Thornberry was a vocal supporter of efforts to boost military spending and helped win major increases in the defense budget under President Donald Trump.

The 13-term lawmaker’s retirement adds to a growing list of Republican departures, especially in the Lone Star State. He’s the sixth Texas GOP member of Congress to retire so far ahead of the 2020 elections.

Already, three other House Armed Services Republicans — Reps. Rob Bishop of Utah, Mike Conaway of Texas and Paul Mitchell of Michigan — have opted to retire.

Another Texan, Rep. Will Hurd — the only black House Republican — made waves when he announced his decision not to seek reelection after just three terms.

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More Texados…Rep Mac Thornberry (R - TX) will not be running in 2020.
The 6th Republican Texan not to run.

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Breaking - Bernie Sanders had to be hospitalized yesterday for a blocked artery. He was given stents for this…and cancelling his appearances for the time being.

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Um, yeah. Anyone with brain can see that :joy:

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A lot of push back for any Republican who dares criticize T in the form of cyber warfare and conservative talk radio…Even Sen Romney is getting big notice not to stick his neck out on this issue.

In the conspiracy-obsessed echo chambers of conservative talk radio and far-right websites, Sen. Mitt Romney has some explaining to do — answering for ties to the Ukrainian gas company that put Joe Biden’s son on its board, and accounting for conversations with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi about Republican support for impeaching President Trump.

In reality, neither claim is true. No meaningful ties exist between Romney and Burisma, and he had no such conversation with Pelosi.

The flood of baseless attacks and misleading innuendo buffeting Romney, which began after he became a rare Republican to express concern about Trump’s interactions with the Ukrainian president, serves as a preview of the viral attacks likely to be unleashed on GOP lawmakers if they buck their president during an impeachment showdown that Trump has denounced as a “coup.”

It’s tribal, and there are Trump cultists in the Republican Party who are constantly going to try to manufacture anything against the president’s critics,” said Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist and Trump critic whose clients have included Romney as well as the late senator John McCain of Arizona. “The easiest place to manufacture and disseminate that stuff is online.”

Romney is not the only Republican to feel the heat in recent days. Sen. Charles E. Grassley (R-Iowa), after defending the whistleblower who raised alarm about Trump and Ukraine, faced withering criticism from the Gateway Pundit, a far-right blog that gained White House press credentials in 2017. “So much for the Republican leaders in the Senate defending President Trump against the continuation of the attempted coup,” the site warned.

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Facebook says Trump can lie in his Facebook ads

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Presidential candidates Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders greatly eclipsed former Vice President Joe Biden in fundraising over the past three months, placing progressive Democrats on strong footing in the crucial final stretch before primary voting begins.

Warren’s campaign reported to donors Friday morning that the Massachusetts senator raised $24.6 million from more than half a million donors in the fundraising quarter that ended Monday. The amount is just shy of the haul by her Senate colleague and fellow progressive Sanders, of Vermont, who earlier in the week reported raising $25.3 million.

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