WTF Community

2020 General Election


#363

Biden’s UNHINGED ad - taking direct aim at you-know-who.


#364

This made for good AM reading.

https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2019/10/06/casten-trump-impeachment-town-hall-031212


(David Bythewood) #365

African Americans top targets of 2016 Russian info warfare, Senate panel finds

Panel says campaigns, media outlets need to verify source of viral social media posts before sharing


(David Bythewood) #366

Trump is paying Facebook to spread political disinformation to millions of people.

Unbound by truth on one of the world’s most powerful advertising platforms, Trump’s anti-impeachment ads are drawing in donors with clickbait disinformation.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-impeachment-facebook-ad-lies_n_5d9cffade4b06ddfc50ff5d9?ncid=engmodushpmg00000004


Impeachment Inquiry into Trump 2019
(David Bythewood) #367

A hopeful story out of Louisiana from their elections this year that may tell us how things will go next year:

Jeremy S. LaCombe just won HD-18 for the Louisiana House against a serious Republican opponent in a district that Trump won by over 17 points!

And Francis Thompson has flipped HD-19 for the Louisiana House in a district that Trump won by 43 points!


#368

What Time Is Tonight’s Democratic Debate? Our Guide on How to Watch

  • The debate is 8 p.m. to 11 p.m. Eastern in Westerville, Ohio.
  • You can watch it on nytimes.com, The New York Times’s app, CNN, CNN International, CNN en Español and CNN.com.
  • Twelve Democratic candidates will debate: Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Senator Elizabeth Warren, Senator Bernie Sanders, Senator Kamala Harris, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, the entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Senator Cory Booker, former Representative Beto O’Rourke, Senator Amy Klobuchar, the former housing secretary Julián Castro, Representative Tulsi Gabbardand the billionaire Tom Steyer.
  • The candidates will have 75 seconds to answer questions and 45 seconds for rebuttals. There will be no opening statements. The moderators are the CNN anchors Anderson Cooper and Erin Burnett and The Times’s National editor, Marc Lacey.
  • The New York Times will have live video of the debate, accompanied by live analysis from six reporters: Maggie Haberman, Lisa Lerer, Astead W. Herndon, Sydney Ember, Patricia Cohen and Elizabeth Dias.

#369

Cross-posting

WATCHING :eyes: the Democratic Debate - here are some ways to follow.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2019-10-15/democratic-white-house-hopefuls-debate-in-ohio


(David Bythewood) #371

Pushing back against disinformation, Trump re-tweeted Dan Scavino…

image

Note the big caveat: “assuming average Democratic turnout.” Nothing about the Democratic party’s turnout has been average since Trump stole the presidency. And this flies in the face of all other polls I’ve heard about.

Reading more about the poll itself, it seems to be basing its data on narrow assumptions about the economy. This poll feels rather like it’s bending over backwards to make its point, and every news outlet is happily devouring what it’s spoon-feeding them.



https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/15/warning-to-democrats-economy-points-to-a-trump-win-047021

Moody’s found that if turnout among non-incumbent voters — Democrats and independents — were to match historical highs, the Democratic nominee would win under the stock market and employment models as well as an average of the three models.


#372

Good post! :+1: I saw the Moody story briefly this morning but it was quickly buried. Thanks for posting, these polls are fascinating.


(David Bythewood) #373

I just did a little thread about it, eight posts. It turns out that the news outlets are cherrypicking to get sensational headlines, but if you read the articles, at least some of them, a Trump win is still a long-shot. The pollster is reputable, but the presentation of its findings by these various outlets is not.