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52. Dossier Analysis – Summary Version

52. Dossier Analysis – Summary Version

  • *This is a summary analysis of the Trump Dossier that attempts to verify or dismiss claims within the Dossier using factual evidence we have. Full doc without analysis: ** Source

I have also created a full dossier analysis which you can view here: Source (In Progress)

    • *Anything that lacks evidence either way or isn’t relevant to specifically Trump has currently not been included, but will be added if more information comes out. **
    • *If you believe I missed something that I could add with current information let me know. **

52.1. Trump

  • Claim – Russia has been cultivating supporting and assisting Trump for at least 5 years.
    • Reality – Trump had numerous deals leading back to Russian Oligarchs. Source
    • Reality - Multiple sources confirmed Russian officials communications had been intercepted known to be involved with collecting info damaging to Hillary/Supportive of Trump. Source
    • Reality - CIA director reported to have received intel about Russian money going to US campaign. Source
  • Claim - So far TRUMP has declined various sweetener real estate business deals offered him in Russia in order to further the Kremlin’s cultivation of him.
    • Reality – For all of his rumored projects in Russia none of them were ever completed. Source
  • Claim – Wikileaks operation was conducted will full knowledge and support of Trump team.
    • Reality – Roger Stone, while working on the Trump campaign stated he directly communicated with Assange and seemingly had knowledge of incoming email leaks before they were actually released. 1. Source 2. Source3. Source
    • Reality - Stone had contact with both Guccifer 2.0 and Assange. Source
    • Reality – Trump publicly asked Russia to find “Hillary’s missing emails” Source
  • Claim – In return for Wikileaks operations Trump team had agreed to sideline Russian Intervention in Ukraine as a campaign issue
    • Reality – Trump and members of his foreign policy team directly changed the GOP platform to be more Pro-Russia in regards to Ukraine. Source
    • Reality - Trump denied he knew about this, but JD Gordon says it was Trump’s idea. Source
  • Claim - Both believe Azeri business associate of TRUMP, Araz AGALAROV will know the details of Trump’s possible bribes/sexual acts he’s being blackmailed over.
    • Reality - Trump does have a relationship with Araz Agalarov and he helped fund Trump’s Miss Universe pageant in Moscow. Also close ties to Putin. Source
    • Reality - Agalarov’s son recently stated "Now that he ran and was elected, he does not forget his friends,"Source
    • Reality - There have been reports of members of Intel community aware of Trump kompromat. Source
    • Reality – Russia has a history of using sexual blackmail of key targets. Source
    • Reality – in an interview on Howard stern in 2001 Trump was accused of saying “He used to call me when I was a columnist and say, ‘I was just in Russia, the girls have no morals, you gotta get out there” Source

52.2. Paul Manafort

  • Claim - There was a well-developed conspiracy of co-operation between them and the Russian leadership. This was managed on the TRUMP side by the Republican candidate’s campaign manager, Paul MANAFORT
  • Claim - Ex-Ukrainian President YANUKOVYCH confides directly to PUTIN that he authorized kick-back payments to MANAFORT, as alleged in western media. Assures Russian President however there is no documentary evidence/trail
    • Reality - Seemingly has ties to Russia (and received undisclosed payments from Russia). Source

52.3. Carter Page

  • Claim - Trump advisor Carter Page holds secret meetings in Moscow with Sechin over Ukraine-related western sanctions against Russia.
    • Reality - Page was being investigated for possible backroom deals related to sanctions and had made trips to Russia numerous times. Source
    • Reality – Page had reportedly met with Igor Sechin according to Intel. Source
    • Reality - Page had also spoken with Igor Diveykin as claimed in the Dossier. Source
    • Reality – Page was in Moscow the day after the 19% Rosneft deal went through. Source
    • Reality - Trump says he didn’t direct Flynn to talk sanctions with Russia, but would have. Source

52.4. Michael Cohen

  • Claim – Cohen had become a key middleman in negotiating between Trump and Russia after Manafort departure.
    • Reality -Trump lawyer hand-delivered plan to Michael Flynn to lift sanctions on Russia. Source
  • Claim – Cohen held meetings in August 2016 in Prague to pay off hackers who worked in EU under Kremlin direction.
    • Reality - Cohen denies ever going to Prague, CNN reports it’s possibly a different Cohen who was in Russia. However there is no outright proof dismissing it. Source
    • Reality – Cohen had claimed he went to Prague in 2001. Source
    • Reality – A hacker wanted by the FBI with possible involvement in the DNC hack was picked up in Prague. Source
    • Reality - US allies picked up intel describing meetings between Russian officials and members of Trump campaign in EU cities. (I believe Cohen was the only person listed to have met officials in an EU city in the Dossier) Source

52.5. Russia

  • Claim – DNC email leaks were specifically aimed at switching Sanders voters away from Clinton over to Trump.
    • Reality -This appears to be true. Intelligence agrees emails were timed to help Trump defeat Clinton. Source
  • Claim – Russian diplomat Mikhail Kalugin was sent back to Russia over fear of his links to Presidential election influence being discovered.
    • Reality – Kalugin did return to Russia in August 2016. Source
    • Reality – Kalugin was being looked at by Federal Investigators. Source
  • Claim ** **- Page/Trump associates offered brokerage 19% Rosneft(privatized) stake in Rosneft in exchange for lifting sanctions on Russia.
      • *Reality ** - 19.5% Rosneft sold off to Glencore + Qatar unknown buyers not long after Dossier leaks. Source
    • Reality – A Qatar owned company, Qatar Airways had offices in Trump towers and Trump was looking for additional business opportunities in Qatar. Source
  • Claim – Putin was motivated by fear and hatred of Hillary Clinton
      • *Reality ** – Former DNI James Clapper confirms this part of the Dossier is true. Source
  • Claim - Kremlin engaging with several high profile US players, including STEIN, PAGE and (former DIA Director Michael Flynn), and funding their recent visits to Moscow
    • Reality - There is evidence of Russia engaging and funding trips for individuals listed. Flynn – Source Stein – Source Page - Source