The latest Graham-Cassidy (GC) bill for health care reform has gained more momentum than previously anticipated. They only have to secure 3 or so additional votes to reach 50.
It’s less likely Murkowski or Collins (Alaska & Maine) will vote “yes” because most of the same problems they cited before still exist. The bill also drains some funds from their states (along with 32 others), but there is some discussion of giving Alaska special treatment
with 48% more funds per person (although still a funding cut compared to current law).
I want to believe McCain would vote against the bill, but the governor of Arizona has come out strongly in support of it.
Yet, many of the same medical associations, patient advocacy groups, hospitals, and insurers from before have publicly denounced this bill too.
One thing GOP has on their side is sheer desperation and a deadline by next Wednesday to pass something (anything) to repeal Obamacare, especially because Republicans promised to do so for the past 7 years. The biggest motivator, however, is probably from donors who have threatened to withhold funds until GOP passes a major piece of legislation.
This week, Republican leadership even tried to sideline a separate bipartisan effort designed to help stabilize the ACA.
To top things off, an official CBO budget score for the bill won’t be available by next week.
A couple independent but unofficial analyses have already contradicted some of Senator Cassidy’s claims.